Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 16:30 • Etihad Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.71 (league 1.55) 1.25 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.4% 10.3% 8.0%
best score tips
3 - 1
7.5%
4 - 1
6.9%
2 - 1
6.0%
Score & goals probability table
Bournemouth
0 1 2 3 4 5
Manchester City 0 0.7% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
1 2.6% 3.3% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
2 4.8% 6.0% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 6.0% 7.5% 4.7% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
4 5.5% 6.9% 4.3% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
5 4.1% 5.1% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricManchester CityBournemouth
Played55
Form67%60%
Attack64%71%
Defense79%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.810 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Manchester City Bournemouth
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins75%40%56%80%25%56%
Draws0%20%11%20%50%33%
Loses25%40%33%0%25%11%

Form: Manchester City: WLLWDWWWL • Bournemouth: LWWWDDWDW

League goals

Metric Manchester City Bournemouth
HATHAT
GF total107178816
GF avg2.51.41.91.62.01.8
GA total3472911
GA avg0.80.80.80.42.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineManchester CityBournemouth
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%56%89%56%
1.544%22%67%33%
2.533%0%22%22%
3.522%0%0%11%
4.511%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricManchester CityBournemouth
HATHAT
Clean sheets224314
Failed to score112101

Penalties

MetricManchester CityBournemouth
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricManchester CityBournemouth
Wins33
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-43-10-1
Biggest losses0-22-1—4-2
Goals For5433
Goals Against2214

Model comparison

MetricManchester CityBournemouth
Form53%47%
Att47%53%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h80%20%
Goals72%28%
Total65.3%34.7%

Advice: Double chance : Manchester City or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.50 @ 1xBet
Draw5.06 @ 1xBet
Away6.80 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ Bet365
No2.28 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.53 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.65 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Manchester City = 3.71 (league 1.55), Bournemouth = 1.25 (league 1.28)

Bournemouth
0 1 2 3 4 5
Manchester City 0 0.7% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
1 2.6% 3.3% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
2 4.8% 6.0% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 6.0% 7.5% 4.7% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
4 5.5% 6.9% 4.3% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
5 4.1% 5.1% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.4% · Draw 10.3% · Away win 8.0%

Vtot 109 , Vtod1