Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 14:00 • Brentford Community Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.15 (league 1.56) 0.39 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
55.2% 32.2% 12.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
24.7%
0 - 0
21.5%
2 - 0
14.2%
Score & goals probability table
Newcastle
0 1 2 3 4 5
Brentford 0 21.5% 8.3% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.7% 9.6% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.2% 5.5% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.4% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBrentfordNewcastle
Played55
Form60%40%
Attack44%39%
Defense67%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Brentford Newcastle
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins60%20%40%60%0%30%
Draws20%0%10%0%60%30%
Loses20%80%50%40%40%40%

Form: Brentford: LWLDLWLWWL • Newcastle: DLDWDLWLWL

League goals

Metric Brentford Newcastle
HATHAT
GF total95148210
GF avg1.81.01.41.60.41.0
GA total610166511
GA avg1.22.01.61.21.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBrentfordNewcastle
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%80%70%50%
1.540%60%30%40%
2.520%20%0%20%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBrentfordNewcastle
HATHAT
Clean sheets112235
Failed to score112033

Penalties

MetricBrentfordNewcastle
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricBrentfordNewcastle
Wins21
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-22-0—
Biggest losses0-13-12-33-1
Goals For3221
Goals Against2333

Model comparison

MetricBrentfordNewcastle
Form60%40%
Att53%47%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h20%80%
Goals40%60%
Total50.5%49.5%

Advice: Double chance : Brentford or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.05 @ 1xBet
Draw3.60 @ 1xBet
Away2.50 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.89 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.07 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.68 @ Pinnacle
No2.27 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Brentford = 1.15 (league 1.56), Newcastle = 0.39 (league 1.24)

Newcastle
0 1 2 3 4 5
Brentford 0 21.5% 8.3% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.7% 9.6% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.2% 5.5% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.4% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.2% · Draw 32.2% · Away win 12.5%

Vtot 70 , Vtod4