Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 16:30 • Etihad Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.03 (league 1.55) 1.01 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
69.0% 13.0% 9.3%
best score tips
3 - 1
8.2%
2 - 1
8.2%
3 - 0
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
Liverpool
0 1 2 3 4 5
Manchester City 0 1.8% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 5.3% 5.4% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 8.1% 8.2% 4.1% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 8.1% 8.2% 4.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 6.2% 6.2% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
5 3.7% 3.8% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricManchester CityLiverpool
Played55
Form80%20%
Attack61%39%
Defense83%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Manchester City Liverpool
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins80%40%60%80%40%60%
Draws0%20%10%0%0%0%
Loses20%40%30%20%60%40%

Form: Manchester City: WLLWDWWWLW • Liverpool: WWWWWLLLLW

League goals

Metric Manchester City Liverpool
HATHAT
GF total1372010818
GF avg2.61.42.02.01.61.8
GA total4485914
GA avg0.80.80.81.01.81.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineManchester CityLiverpool
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%60%100%70%
1.550%20%50%60%
2.540%0%20%10%
3.520%0%10%0%
4.510%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricManchester CityLiverpool
HATHAT
Clean sheets224213
Failed to score112000

Penalties

MetricManchester CityLiverpool
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricManchester CityLiverpool
Wins35
Draws10
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-44-22-3
Biggest losses0-22-11-23-2
Goals For5443
Goals Against2223

Model comparison

MetricManchester CityLiverpool
Form80%20%
Att61%39%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h38%62%
Goals46%54%
Total62.0%38.0%

Advice: Double chance : Manchester City or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.99 @ 1xBet
Draw4.10 @ 1xBet
Away3.85 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ Betano
Under 2.52.75 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.45 @ Superbet
No2.85 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Manchester City = 3.03 (league 1.55), Liverpool = 1.01 (league 1.27)

Liverpool
0 1 2 3 4 5
Manchester City 0 1.8% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 5.3% 5.4% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 8.1% 8.2% 4.1% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 8.1% 8.2% 4.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 6.2% 6.2% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
5 3.7% 3.8% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.0% · Draw 13.0% · Away win 9.3%

Vtot 90 , Vtod1