Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 17:30 • Stadium of Light
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.47 (league 1.54) 0.56 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.0% 45.9% 30.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
35.9%
0 - 1
20.0%
1 - 0
16.8%
Score & goals probability table
Arsenal
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sunderland 0 35.9% 20.0% 5.6% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.8% 9.3% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 3.9% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSunderlandArsenal
Played55
Form67%100%
Attack35%47%
Defense76%94%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.81 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

58%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sunderland Arsenal
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins60%40%50%80%80%80%
Draws40%20%30%20%0%10%
Loses0%40%20%0%20%10%

Form: Sunderland: WLWDDWLWWD • Arsenal: WWLWDWWWWW

League goals

Metric Sunderland Arsenal
HATHAT
GF total931212618
GF avg1.80.61.22.41.21.8
GA total358123
GA avg0.61.00.80.20.40.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSunderlandArsenal
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%60%90%30%
1.540%20%50%0%
2.510%0%20%0%
3.50%0%10%0%
4.50%0%10%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSunderlandArsenal
HATHAT
Clean sheets224437
Failed to score033011

Penalties

MetricSunderlandArsenal
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricSunderlandArsenal
Wins22
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-25-00-2
Biggest losses—2-0—1-0
Goals For3252
Goals Against1211

Model comparison

MetricSunderlandArsenal
Form40%60%
Att43%57%
Def20%80%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h7%93%
Goals18%82%
Total28.3%71.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Arsenal and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home8.10 @ 1xBet
Draw4.51 @ Pinnacle
Away1.52 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.19 @ SBO
Under 2.51.81 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.42 @ Pinnacle
No1.61 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sunderland = 0.47 (league 1.54), Arsenal = 0.56 (league 1.29)

Arsenal
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sunderland 0 35.9% 20.0% 5.6% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.8% 9.3% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 3.9% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.0% · Draw 45.9% · Away win 30.1%

Vtot 84 , Vtod1