Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 15:00 • Amex Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.59 (league 1.55) 0.79 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
71.2% 14.9% 9.1%
best score tips
2 - 0
11.4%
3 - 0
9.9%
2 - 1
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Brentford
0 1 2 3 4 5
Brighton 0 3.4% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 8.8% 7.0% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.4% 9.0% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.9% 7.8% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 6.4% 5.0% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.3% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBrightonBrentford
Played55
Form53%60%
Attack53%53%
Defense60%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

85%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Brighton Brentford
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins60%17%36%67%20%45%
Draws40%33%36%17%0%9%
Loses0%50%27%17%80%45%

Form: Brighton: DLWLDWDWLWD • Brentford: LWLDLWLWWLW

League goals

Metric Brighton Brentford
HATHAT
GF total1071712517
GF avg2.01.21.52.01.01.5
GA total5101571017
GA avg1.01.71.41.22.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBrightonBrentford
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%82%82%82%
1.555%36%45%55%
2.518%9%27%18%
3.50%9%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBrightonBrentford
HATHAT
Clean sheets112112
Failed to score022112

Penalties

MetricBrightonBrentford
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricBrightonBrentford
Wins12
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-33-10-2
Biggest losses—4-20-13-1
Goals For3332
Goals Against2423

Model comparison

MetricBrightonBrentford
Form47%53%
Att50%50%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h62%38%
Goals55%45%
Total56.2%43.8%

Advice: Double chance : Brighton or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.05 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.64 @ 1xBet
Away3.94 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.14 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ William Hill
No2.30 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Brighton = 2.59 (league 1.55), Brentford = 0.79 (league 1.27)

Brentford
0 1 2 3 4 5
Brighton 0 3.4% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 8.8% 7.0% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.4% 9.0% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.9% 7.8% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 6.4% 5.0% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.3% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.2% · Draw 14.9% · Away win 9.1%

Vtot 83 , Vtod4