Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 12:30 • Turf Moor
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.65 (league 1.54) 1.48 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
16.2% 26.4% 57.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
17.6%
0 - 2
13.0%
0 - 0
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
Chelsea
0 1 2 3 4 5
Burnley 0 11.9% 17.6% 13.0% 6.4% 2.4% 0.7%
1 7.7% 11.4% 8.4% 4.2% 1.5% 0.5%
2 2.5% 3.7% 2.7% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1%
3 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBurnleyChelsea
Played55
Form40%80%
Attack53%67%
Defense40%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Burnley Chelsea
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins40%17%27%50%60%55%
Draws20%0%9%17%20%18%
Loses40%83%64%33%20%27%

Form: Burnley: LWLLDLLWWLL • Chelsea: DWWDLLWWLWW

League goals

Metric Burnley Chelsea
HATHAT
GF total591491221
GF avg1.01.51.31.52.41.9
GA total418226511
GA avg0.83.02.01.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBurnleyChelsea
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%82%91%55%
1.545%64%55%36%
2.59%36%27%9%
3.50%9%9%0%
4.50%9%9%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBurnleyChelsea
HATHAT
Clean sheets202325
Failed to score213101

Penalties

MetricBurnleyChelsea
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricBurnleyChelsea
Wins22
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-02-33-01-5
Biggest losses0-25-11-32-1
Goals For2335
Goals Against2532

Model comparison

MetricBurnleyChelsea
Form33%67%
Att44%56%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution26%74%
H2h15%85%
Goals24%76%
Total27.8%72.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Chelsea

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home7.00 @ Unibet
Draw4.61 @ 1xBet
Away1.55 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.82 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.16 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Bet365
No1.95 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Burnley = 0.65 (league 1.54), Chelsea = 1.48 (league 1.30)

Chelsea
0 1 2 3 4 5
Burnley 0 11.9% 17.6% 13.0% 6.4% 2.4% 0.7%
1 7.7% 11.4% 8.4% 4.2% 1.5% 0.5%
2 2.5% 3.7% 2.7% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1%
3 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.2% · Draw 26.4% · Away win 57.0%

Vtot 146 , Vtod1