Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 14:00 • Elland Road
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.78 (league 1.53) 0.47 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.6% 40.0% 20.3%
best score tips
0 - 0
28.5%
1 - 0
22.3%
0 - 1
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
Aston Villa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leeds 0 28.5% 13.5% 3.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 22.3% 10.5% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 8.7% 4.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLeedsAston Villa
Played55
Form20%80%
Attack33%75%
Defense8%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Leeds Aston Villa
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins40%17%27%67%20%45%
Draws40%0%18%17%40%27%
Loses20%83%55%17%40%27%

Form: Leeds: WLDLWDLLWLL • Aston Villa: DLLDDWWWWLW

League goals

Metric Leeds Aston Villa
HATHAT
GF total641010313
GF avg1.20.70.91.70.61.2
GA total515205510
GA avg1.02.51.80.81.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLeedsAston Villa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.555%82%55%64%
1.527%55%36%18%
2.59%27%18%9%
3.50%9%9%0%
4.50%9%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLeedsAston Villa
HATHAT
Clean sheets202314
Failed to score145235

Penalties

MetricLeedsAston Villa
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricLeedsAston Villa
Wins14
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-34-01-2
Biggest losses1-25-00-32-0
Goals For2342
Goals Against2532

Model comparison

MetricLeedsAston Villa
Form20%80%
Att31%69%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h15%85%
Goals31%69%
Total30.5%69.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Aston Villa

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.10 @ 188Bet
Draw3.37 @ Pinnacle
Away2.53 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.81 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.84 @ Pinnacle
No2.06 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Leeds = 0.78 (league 1.53), Aston Villa = 0.47 (league 1.27)

Aston Villa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leeds 0 28.5% 13.5% 3.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 22.3% 10.5% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 8.7% 4.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.6% · Draw 40.0% · Away win 20.3%

Vtot 112 , Vtod1