Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 14:05 • Villa Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.99 (league 1.53) 0.13 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
81.4% 15.2% 1.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
24.0%
2 - 0
23.9%
3 - 0
15.9%
Score & goals probability table
Wolves
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aston Villa 0 12.0% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.0% 3.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 23.9% 3.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.9% 2.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.9% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAston VillaWolves
Played55
Form80%0%
Attack41%9%
Defense82%41%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.82 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.813 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Aston Villa Wolves
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins67%33%50%0%0%0%
Draws17%33%25%17%17%17%
Loses17%33%25%83%83%83%

Form: Aston Villa: DLLDDWWWWLWW • Wolves: LLLLLDDLLLLL

League goals

Metric Aston Villa Wolves
HATHAT
GF total10515617
GF avg1.70.81.31.00.20.6
GA total5611161127
GA avg0.81.00.92.71.82.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAston VillaWolves
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.558%67%42%100%
1.542%17%17%67%
2.517%8%0%50%
3.58%0%0%8%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAston VillaWolves
HATHAT
Clean sheets314000
Failed to score235257

Penalties

MetricAston VillaWolves
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricAston VillaWolves
Wins40
Draws22
Losses25

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-2——
Biggest losses0-32-00-43-0
Goals For4221
Goals Against3243

Model comparison

MetricAston VillaWolves
Form100%0%
Att82%18%
Def76%24%
Poisson Distribution94%6%
H2h50%50%
Goals55%45%
Total71.4%28.6%

Advice: Double chance : Aston Villa or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.54 @ 1xBet
Draw4.62 @ 1xBet
Away7.00 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.81 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.19 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.93 @ Unibet
No1.95 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Aston Villa = 1.99 (league 1.53), Wolves = 0.13 (league 1.28)

Wolves
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aston Villa 0 12.0% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.0% 3.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 23.9% 3.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.9% 2.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.9% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 81.4% · Draw 15.2% · Away win 1.8%

vtt 74 , vtd1