Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 16:30 • Stamford Bridge
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.69 (league 1.53) 1.01 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.2% 33.4% 42.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
18.5%
0 - 0
18.3%
1 - 1
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
Arsenal
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chelsea 0 18.3% 18.5% 9.4% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2%
1 12.5% 12.7% 6.4% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 4.3% 4.4% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.0% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChelseaArsenal
Played55
Form80%87%
Attack45%45%
Defense91%86%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 210 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chelsea Arsenal
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins50%67%58%83%67%75%
Draws17%17%17%17%17%17%
Loses33%17%25%0%17%8%

Form: Chelsea: DWWDLLWWLWWW • Arsenal: WWLWDWWWWWDW

League goals

Metric Chelsea Arsenal
HATHAT
GF total9142316824
GF avg1.52.31.92.71.32.0
GA total6511246
GA avg1.00.80.90.30.70.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChelseaArsenal
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.592%50%92%42%
1.558%33%58%8%
2.525%8%25%0%
3.58%0%17%0%
4.58%0%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChelseaArsenal
HATHAT
Clean sheets336437
Failed to score101011

Penalties

MetricChelseaArsenal
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricChelseaArsenal
Wins25
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-55-00-2
Biggest losses1-32-1—1-0
Goals For3552
Goals Against3212

Model comparison

MetricChelseaArsenal
Form48%52%
Att50%50%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution35%65%
H2h15%85%
Goals25%75%
Total38.8%61.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Arsenal

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.20 @ Betano
Draw3.24 @ 1xBet
Away2.55 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.22 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.82 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.86 @ 188Bet
No2.04 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chelsea = 0.69 (league 1.53), Arsenal = 1.01 (league 1.28)

Arsenal
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chelsea 0 18.3% 18.5% 9.4% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2%
1 12.5% 12.7% 6.4% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 4.3% 4.4% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.0% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.2% · Draw 33.4% · Away win 42.3%

Vtot 110 , Vtod1