Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 12:00 • Selhurst Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.68 (league 1.54) 0.80 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.6% 24.0% 17.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.0%
2 - 0
11.8%
1 - 1
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
Manchester United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Crystal Palace 0 8.3% 6.7% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.0% 11.2% 4.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.8% 9.5% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.6% 5.3% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.8% 2.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCrystal PalaceManchester United
Played55
Form53%53%
Attack32%45%
Defense82%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Crystal Palace Manchester United
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins33%50%42%67%17%42%
Draws67%17%42%0%50%25%
Loses0%33%17%33%33%33%

Form: Crystal Palace: DDWDWWLDLWDW • Manchester United: LDWLWLWWWDDL

League goals

Metric Crystal Palace Manchester United
HATHAT
GF total881611819
GF avg1.31.31.31.81.31.6
GA total54971219
GA avg0.80.70.81.22.01.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCrystal PalaceManchester United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%50%75%92%
1.550%17%58%50%
2.517%8%17%17%
3.50%0%8%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCrystal PalaceManchester United
HATHAT
Clean sheets336101
Failed to score224213

Penalties

MetricCrystal PalaceManchester United
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricCrystal PalaceManchester United
Wins23
Draws22
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-34-21-2
Biggest losses—2-10-13-0
Goals For3342
Goals Against3223

Model comparison

MetricCrystal PalaceManchester United
Form50%50%
Att41%59%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h71%29%
Goals70%30%
Total60.3%39.7%

Advice: Double chance : Crystal Palace or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.37 @ 1xBet
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away3.17 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.83 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.13 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.64 @ Pinnacle
No2.35 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Crystal Palace = 1.68 (league 1.54), Manchester United = 0.80 (league 1.30)

Manchester United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Crystal Palace 0 8.3% 6.7% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.0% 11.2% 4.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.8% 9.5% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.6% 5.3% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.8% 2.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.6% · Draw 24.0% · Away win 17.6%

Vtot 114 , Vtod1