Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 15:00 • Etihad Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.36 (league 1.55) 0.38 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
68.8% 3.1% 0.8%
best score tips
4 - 0
13.1%
3 - 0
12.0%
5 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
Leeds
0 1 2 3 4 5
Manchester City 0 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 3.8% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 8.3% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.0% 4.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 13.1% 5.0% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 11.4% 4.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricManchester CityLeeds
Played55
Form60%20%
Attack64%29%
Defense71%21%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.811 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Manchester City Leeds
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins83%33%58%33%17%25%
Draws0%17%8%33%0%17%
Loses17%50%33%33%83%58%

Form: Manchester City: WLLWDWWWLWWL • Leeds: WLDLWDLLWLLL

League goals

Metric Manchester City Leeds
HATHAT
GF total168247411
GF avg2.71.32.01.20.70.9
GA total461071522
GA avg0.71.00.81.22.51.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineManchester CityLeeds
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%58%58%83%
1.550%25%25%58%
2.542%0%8%25%
3.517%0%0%8%
4.58%0%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricManchester CityLeeds
HATHAT
Clean sheets325202
Failed to score112145

Penalties

MetricManchester CityLeeds
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricManchester CityLeeds
Wins31
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-42-11-3
Biggest losses0-22-11-25-0
Goals For5423
Goals Against2225

Model comparison

MetricManchester CityLeeds
Form75%25%
Att69%31%
Def73%27%
Poisson Distribution91%9%
H2h80%20%
Goals81%19%
Total78.2%21.8%

Advice: Winner : Manchester City

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.30 @ 1xBet
Draw6.62 @ Pinnacle
Away12.00 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ Betfair
Under 2.52.75 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.02 @ Unibet
No1.92 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Manchester City = 4.36 (league 1.55), Leeds = 0.38 (league 1.28)

Leeds
0 1 2 3 4 5
Manchester City 0 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 3.8% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 8.3% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.0% 4.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 13.1% 5.0% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 11.4% 4.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 68.8% · Draw 3.1% · Away win 0.8%

Vtot 70 , Vtod1