Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 14:05 • City Ground
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.43 (league 1.55) 1.71 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
32.0% 23.5% 43.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.6%
1 - 2
9.0%
2 - 1
7.6%
Score & goals probability table
Brighton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nottingham Forest 0 4.3% 7.4% 6.3% 3.6% 1.5% 0.5%
1 6.2% 10.6% 9.0% 5.1% 2.2% 0.7%
2 4.4% 7.6% 6.5% 3.7% 1.6% 0.5%
3 2.1% 3.6% 3.1% 1.8% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.8% 1.3% 1.1% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNottingham ForestBrighton
Played55
Form47%67%
Attack36%41%
Defense64%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nottingham Forest Brighton
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins33%17%25%67%17%42%
Draws17%33%25%33%33%33%
Loses50%50%50%0%50%25%

Form: Nottingham Forest: WDLLDLLLLDWW • Brighton: DLWLDWDWLWDW

League goals

Metric Nottingham Forest Brighton
HATHAT
GF total851312719
GF avg1.30.81.12.01.21.6
GA total1192061016
GA avg1.81.51.71.01.71.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNottingham ForestBrighton
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%92%83%83%
1.533%50%58%33%
2.525%25%17%8%
3.50%0%0%8%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNottingham ForestBrighton
HATHAT
Clean sheets011112
Failed to score336022

Penalties

MetricNottingham ForestBrighton
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricNottingham ForestBrighton
Wins11
Draws11
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-33-01-3
Biggest losses0-33-0—4-2
Goals For3333
Goals Against3324

Model comparison

MetricNottingham ForestBrighton
Form41%59%
Att47%53%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h38%62%
Goals65%35%
Total46.2%53.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Brighton

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.81 @ 1xBet
Draw3.46 @ 1xBet
Away2.70 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.93 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.01 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.68 @ Pinnacle
No2.27 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Nottingham Forest = 1.43 (league 1.55), Brighton = 1.71 (league 1.27)

Brighton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nottingham Forest 0 4.3% 7.4% 6.3% 3.6% 1.5% 0.5%
1 6.2% 10.6% 9.0% 5.1% 2.2% 0.7%
2 4.4% 7.6% 6.5% 3.7% 1.6% 0.5%
3 2.1% 3.6% 3.1% 1.8% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.8% 1.3% 1.1% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.0% · Draw 23.5% · Away win 43.4%

Vtot 72 , Vtod14