Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 15:00 • Stadium of Light
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.14 (league 1.55) 0.94 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
70.6% 11.8% 7.7%
best score tips
3 - 0
8.8%
2 - 0
8.4%
3 - 1
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
Bournemouth
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sunderland 0 1.7% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
1 5.3% 5.0% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
2 8.4% 7.8% 3.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.8% 8.2% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 6.9% 6.4% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
5 4.3% 4.0% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSunderlandBournemouth
Played55
Form53%33%
Attack50%57%
Defense64%14%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 112 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

87%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sunderland Bournemouth
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins50%33%42%67%17%42%
Draws50%17%33%33%33%33%
Loses0%50%25%0%50%25%

Form: Sunderland: WLWDDWLWWDDL • Bournemouth: LWWWDDWDWLLD

League goals

Metric Sunderland Bournemouth
HATHAT
GF total1131410919
GF avg1.80.51.21.71.51.6
GA total561141620
GA avg0.81.00.90.72.71.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSunderlandBournemouth
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%83%67%
1.542%25%58%50%
2.58%0%17%33%
3.50%0%0%17%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSunderlandBournemouth
HATHAT
Clean sheets224314
Failed to score044112

Penalties

MetricSunderlandBournemouth
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricSunderlandBournemouth
Wins23
Draws22
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-23-10-1
Biggest losses—2-0—4-0
Goals For3233
Goals Against2224

Model comparison

MetricSunderlandBournemouth
Form62%38%
Att47%53%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h36%64%
Goals38%63%
Total54.5%45.7%

Advice: Double chance : Sunderland or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.22 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.44 @ 1xBet
Away2.43 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.06 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.89 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.79 @ Pinnacle
No2.11 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sunderland = 3.14 (league 1.55), Bournemouth = 0.94 (league 1.28)

Bournemouth
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sunderland 0 1.7% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
1 5.3% 5.0% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
2 8.4% 7.8% 3.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.8% 8.2% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 6.9% 6.4% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
5 4.3% 4.0% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.6% · Draw 11.8% · Away win 7.7%

Vtot 82 , Vtod1