Wed, Dec 3 2025 • 19:30 • Turf Moor
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.36 (league 1.54) 1.00 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
13.2% 35.7% 51.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
25.6%
0 - 0
25.5%
0 - 2
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Crystal Palace
0 1 2 3 4 5
Burnley 0 25.5% 25.6% 12.8% 4.3% 1.1% 0.2%
1 9.3% 9.3% 4.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 1.7% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBurnleyCrystal Palace
Played55
Form20%47%
Attack33%28%
Defense33%83%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Burnley Crystal Palace
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins33%14%23%29%50%38%
Draws17%0%8%57%17%38%
Loses50%86%69%14%33%23%

Form: Burnley: LWLLDLLWWLLLL • Crystal Palace: DDWDWWLDLWDWL

League goals

Metric Burnley Crystal Palace
HATHAT
GF total510159817
GF avg0.81.41.21.31.31.3
GA total621277411
GA avg1.03.02.11.00.70.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBurnleyCrystal Palace
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%85%69%54%
1.538%69%46%23%
2.58%38%15%8%
3.50%8%0%0%
4.50%8%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBurnleyCrystal Palace
HATHAT
Clean sheets202336
Failed to score314224

Penalties

MetricBurnleyCrystal Palace
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricBurnleyCrystal Palace
Wins22
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-02-32-00-3
Biggest losses0-25-11-22-1
Goals For2333
Goals Against2532

Model comparison

MetricBurnleyCrystal Palace
Form30%70%
Att55%45%
Def20%80%
Poisson Distribution24%76%
H2h38%62%
Goals44%56%
Total35.2%64.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Crystal Palace

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.07 @ 1xBet
Draw3.78 @ 1xBet
Away1.81 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.81 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.13 @ Pinnacle
No1.80 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Burnley = 0.36 (league 1.54), Crystal Palace = 1.00 (league 1.30)

Crystal Palace
0 1 2 3 4 5
Burnley 0 25.5% 25.6% 12.8% 4.3% 1.1% 0.2%
1 9.3% 9.3% 4.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 1.7% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.2% · Draw 35.7% · Away win 51.1%

Vtot 48 , Vtod1