Sat, Dec 6 2025 • 15:00 • Vitality Stadium
Not Started
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Expected Goals
0.88 (league 1.55) 1.27 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.7% 28.8% 45.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.8%
1 - 1
13.0%
0 - 0
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
Chelsea
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bournemouth 0 11.6% 14.8% 9.4% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3%
1 10.2% 13.0% 8.3% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3%
2 4.5% 5.7% 3.6% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.3% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBournemouthChelsea
Played55
Form27%80%
Attack32%45%
Defense45%91%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.42 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bournemouth Chelsea
HATHAT
Played67136612
Wins67%14%38%50%67%58%
Draws33%29%31%17%17%17%
Loses0%57%31%33%17%25%

Form: Bournemouth: LWWWDDWDWLLDL • Chelsea: DWWDLLWWLWWW

League goals

Metric Bournemouth Chelsea
HATHAT
GF total10112191423
GF avg1.71.61.61.52.31.9
GA total419236511
GA avg0.72.71.81.00.80.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBournemouthChelsea
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%69%92%50%
1.562%54%58%33%
2.515%38%25%8%
3.50%15%8%0%
4.50%0%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBournemouthChelsea
HATHAT
Clean sheets314336
Failed to score112101

Penalties

MetricBournemouthChelsea
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricBournemouthChelsea
Wins32
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-13-01-5
Biggest losses—4-01-32-1
Goals For3335
Goals Against2432

Model comparison

MetricBournemouthChelsea
Form25%75%
Att41%59%
Def14%86%
Poisson Distribution39%61%
H2h15%85%
Goals33%67%
Total27.8%72.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Chelsea

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.11 @ 1xBet
Draw3.75 @ 188Bet
Away2.39 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.79 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.18 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Bet365
No2.34 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bournemouth = 0.88 (league 1.55), Chelsea = 1.27 (league 1.27)

Chelsea
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bournemouth 0 11.6% 14.8% 9.4% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3%
1 10.2% 13.0% 8.3% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3%
2 4.5% 5.7% 3.6% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.3% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.7% · Draw 28.8% · Away win 45.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1