Sat, Dec 6 2025 • 17:30 • Elland Road
Not Started
—
Expected Goals
1.32 (league 1.55) 1.31 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.7% 26.2% 36.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.5%
1 - 0
9.5%
0 - 1
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Liverpool
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leeds 0 7.2% 9.5% 6.2% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
1 9.5% 12.5% 8.2% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.3% 8.2% 5.4% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
3 2.7% 3.6% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.9% 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLeedsLiverpool
Played55
Form20%40%
Attack60%60%
Defense0%10%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Leeds Liverpool
HATHAT
Played67136713
Wins33%14%23%67%43%54%
Draws33%0%15%0%0%0%
Loses33%86%62%33%57%46%

Form: Leeds: WLDLWDLLWLLLL • Liverpool: WWWWWLLLLWLLW

League goals

Metric Leeds Liverpool
HATHAT
GF total7613101020
GF avg1.20.91.01.71.41.5
GA total7182581220
GA avg1.22.61.91.31.71.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLeedsLiverpool
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%85%85%69%
1.531%62%46%62%
2.58%31%15%23%
3.50%8%8%0%
4.50%8%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLeedsLiverpool
HATHAT
Clean sheets202224
Failed to score145112

Penalties

MetricLeedsLiverpool
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricLeedsLiverpool
Wins15
Draws10
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-34-20-2
Biggest losses1-25-00-33-0
Goals For2343
Goals Against2533

Model comparison

MetricLeedsLiverpool
Form33%67%
Att50%50%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h29%71%
Goals19%81%
Total36.8%63.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Liverpool

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.62 @ 1xBet
Draw4.24 @ Pinnacle
Away1.79 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.34 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.65 @ Betano
No2.33 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Leeds = 1.32 (league 1.55), Liverpool = 1.31 (league 1.28)

Liverpool
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leeds 0 7.2% 9.5% 6.2% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
1 9.5% 12.5% 8.2% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.3% 8.2% 5.4% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
3 2.7% 3.6% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.9% 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.7% · Draw 26.2% · Away win 36.6%

Vtot 4 , Vtod4