Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 16:30 • Brentford Community Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.56 (league 1.53) 0.77 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
72.3% 8.3% 4.4%
best score tips
3 - 0
9.9%
4 - 0
8.8%
2 - 0
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
Leeds
0 1 2 3 4 5
Brentford 0 1.3% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4.7% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 8.3% 6.4% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.9% 7.6% 3.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
4 8.8% 6.8% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
5 6.2% 4.8% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBrentfordLeeds
Played55
Form40%27%
Attack41%59%
Defense53%29%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.612 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

92%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Brentford Leeds
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins71%13%40%38%14%27%
Draws14%0%7%38%0%20%
Loses14%88%53%25%86%53%

Form: Brentford: LWLDLWLWWLWLWLL • Leeds: WLDLWDLLWLLLLWD

League goals

Metric Brentford Leeds
HATHAT
GF total1562113619
GF avg2.10.81.41.60.91.3
GA total81624111829
GA avg1.12.01.61.42.61.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBrentfordLeeds
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%87%67%87%
1.540%60%40%60%
2.527%13%20%33%
3.50%0%0%7%
4.50%0%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBrentfordLeeds
HATHAT
Clean sheets112202
Failed to score134145

Penalties

MetricBrentfordLeeds
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricBrentfordLeeds
Wins21
Draws11
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-23-11-3
Biggest losses0-13-11-25-0
Goals For3233
Goals Against2335

Model comparison

MetricBrentfordLeeds
Form60%40%
Att41%59%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution81%19%
H2h50%50%
Goals56%44%
Total58.0%42.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Brentford or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.25 @ Betano
Draw3.39 @ 1xBet
Away3.66 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.27 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.82 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Bet365
No1.92 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Brentford = 3.56 (league 1.53), Leeds = 0.77 (league 1.28)

Leeds
0 1 2 3 4 5
Brentford 0 1.3% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4.7% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 8.3% 6.4% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.9% 7.6% 3.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
4 8.8% 6.8% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
5 6.2% 4.8% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 72.3% · Draw 8.3% · Away win 4.4%

vtt 56 , vtd1