Sat, Dec 13 2025 • 17:30 • Turf Moor
Not Started
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Expected Goals
0.91 (league 1.54) 0.70 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.3% 34.9% 26.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
20.0%
1 - 0
18.1%
0 - 1
14.0%
Score & goals probability table
Fulham
0 1 2 3 4 5
Burnley 0 20.0% 14.0% 4.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.1% 12.7% 4.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 8.2% 5.8% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.5% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBurnleyFulham
Played55
Form0%60%
Attack24%59%
Defense35%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.810 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Burnley Fulham
HATHAT
Played78157714
Wins29%13%20%57%14%36%
Draws14%0%7%14%14%14%
Loses57%88%73%29%71%50%

Form: Burnley: LWLLDLLWWLLLLLL • Fulham: DDLWWLLLLWLWWL

League goals

Metric Burnley Fulham
HATHAT
GF total5111613619
GF avg0.71.41.11.90.91.4
GA total7233081422
GA avg1.02.92.01.12.01.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBurnleyFulham
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%87%79%79%
1.533%67%29%43%
2.57%33%21%21%
3.50%7%7%7%
4.50%7%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBurnleyFulham
HATHAT
Clean sheets202303
Failed to score415123

Penalties

MetricBurnleyFulham
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricBurnleyFulham
Wins22
Draws12
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-02-33-01-2
Biggest losses0-25-14-53-1
Goals For2342
Goals Against2553

Model comparison

MetricBurnleyFulham
Form0%100%
Att29%71%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h85%15%
Goals77%23%
Total57.6%42.4%

Advice: Double chance : Burnley or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.94 @ 1xBet
Draw3.62 @ 1xBet
Away2.06 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.86 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.96 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Burnley = 0.91 (league 1.54), Fulham = 0.70 (league 1.28)

Fulham
0 1 2 3 4 5
Burnley 0 20.0% 14.0% 4.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.1% 12.7% 4.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 8.2% 5.8% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.5% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.3% · Draw 34.9% · Away win 26.7%

Vtot 3 , Vtod3