Mon, Dec 15 2025 • 20:00 • Old Trafford
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.97 (league 1.55) 1.35 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.2% 15.1% 14.4%
best score tips
2 - 1
7.9%
3 - 1
7.8%
2 - 0
5.9%
Score & goals probability table
Bournemouth
0 1 2 3 4 5
Manchester United 0 1.3% 1.8% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
1 4.0% 5.3% 3.6% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
2 5.9% 7.9% 5.4% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
3 5.8% 7.8% 5.3% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
4 4.3% 5.8% 3.9% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
5 2.6% 3.4% 2.3% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricManchester UnitedBournemouth
Played55
Form53%13%
Attack64%29%
Defense57%29%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Manchester United Bournemouth
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins57%38%47%50%14%33%
Draws14%38%27%38%29%33%
Loses29%25%27%13%57%33%

Form: Manchester United: LDWLWLWWWDDLWDW • Bournemouth: LWWWDDWDWLLDLLD

League goals

Metric Manchester United Bournemouth
HATHAT
GF total121426101121
GF avg1.71.81.71.31.61.4
GA total8142251924
GA avg1.11.81.50.62.71.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineManchester UnitedBournemouth
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%93%73%67%
1.560%40%53%47%
2.520%13%13%33%
3.513%0%0%13%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricManchester UnitedBournemouth
HATHAT
Clean sheets101415
Failed to score213314

Penalties

MetricManchester UnitedBournemouth
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricManchester UnitedBournemouth
Wins33
Draws22
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-21-43-10-1
Biggest losses0-13-00-14-0
Goals For4433
Goals Against2324

Model comparison

MetricManchester UnitedBournemouth
Form80%20%
Att69%31%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h38%62%
Goals41%59%
Total59.5%40.7%

Advice: Double chance : Manchester United or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.96 @ Marathonbet
Draw4.45 @ 1xBet
Away4.10 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.73 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.52 @ Pinnacle
No2.67 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Manchester United = 2.97 (league 1.55), Bournemouth = 1.35 (league 1.30)

Bournemouth
0 1 2 3 4 5
Manchester United 0 1.3% 1.8% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
1 4.0% 5.3% 3.6% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
2 5.9% 7.9% 5.4% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
3 5.8% 7.8% 5.3% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
4 4.3% 5.8% 3.9% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
5 2.6% 3.4% 2.3% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.2% · Draw 15.1% · Away win 14.4%

Vtot 39 , Vtod3