Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 14:00 • Stadium of Light
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.70 (league 1.53) 0.78 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
58.4% 23.8% 17.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.2%
2 - 0
12.1%
1 - 1
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
Newcastle
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sunderland 0 8.4% 6.6% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.2% 11.1% 4.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.1% 9.4% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.8% 5.3% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.9% 2.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSunderlandNewcastle
Played55
Form33%67%
Attack35%65%
Defense47%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.211 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sunderland Newcastle
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins57%25%40%63%14%40%
Draws43%25%33%13%43%27%
Loses0%50%27%25%43%33%

Form: Sunderland: WLWDDWLWWDDLWDL • Newcastle: DLDWDLWLWLLWWDW

League goals

Metric Sunderland Newcastle
HATHAT
GF total1441814721
GF avg2.00.51.21.81.01.4
GA total7101710919
GA avg1.01.31.11.31.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSunderlandNewcastle
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%73%80%67%
1.540%33%47%40%
2.513%7%7%20%
3.50%0%7%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSunderlandNewcastle
HATHAT
Clean sheets224235
Failed to score055033

Penalties

MetricSunderlandNewcastle
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricSunderlandNewcastle
Wins22
Draws21
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-22-01-4
Biggest losses—3-02-33-1
Goals For3224
Goals Against2333

Model comparison

MetricSunderlandNewcastle
Form33%67%
Att35%65%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h71%29%
Goals60%40%
Total52.0%48.0%

Advice: Double chance : Sunderland or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.80 @ 188Bet
Draw3.46 @ 1xBet
Away2.20 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.04 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.92 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.12 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sunderland = 1.70 (league 1.53), Newcastle = 0.78 (league 1.28)

Newcastle
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sunderland 0 8.4% 6.6% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.2% 11.1% 4.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.1% 9.4% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.8% 5.3% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.9% 2.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.4% · Draw 23.8% · Away win 17.0%

vtt 47 , vtd1