Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 14:00 • London Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.93 (league 1.53) 2.40 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
12.8% 17.3% 66.2%
best score tips
0 - 2
10.3%
1 - 2
9.6%
0 - 1
8.5%
Score & goals probability table
Aston Villa
0 1 2 3 4 5
West Ham 0 3.6% 8.5% 10.3% 8.2% 4.9% 2.4%
1 3.3% 8.0% 9.6% 7.7% 4.6% 2.2%
2 1.6% 3.7% 4.5% 3.6% 2.2% 1.0%
3 0.5% 1.2% 1.4% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWest HamAston Villa
Played55
Form40%100%
Attack41%76%
Defense53%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.413 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric West Ham Aston Villa
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins29%13%20%75%43%60%
Draws0%50%27%13%29%20%
Loses71%38%53%13%29%20%

Form: West Ham: LLWLLDLLLWWDLDD • Aston Villa: DLLDDWWWWLWWWWW

League goals

Metric West Ham Aston Villa
HATHAT
GF total891713922
GF avg1.11.11.11.61.31.5
GA total1712296915
GA avg2.41.51.90.81.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWest HamAston Villa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%93%67%67%
1.527%67%47%20%
2.520%20%20%13%
3.50%7%13%0%
4.50%7%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWest HamAston Villa
HATHAT
Clean sheets011415
Failed to score325235

Penalties

MetricWest HamAston Villa
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricWest HamAston Villa
Wins24
Draws12
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-34-03-4
Biggest losses1-53-00-32-0
Goals For3344
Goals Against5333

Model comparison

MetricWest HamAston Villa
Form29%71%
Att35%65%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution26%74%
H2h15%85%
Goals33%67%
Total29.3%70.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Aston Villa

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.65 @ Unibet
Draw3.56 @ 1xBet
Away2.18 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.89 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.08 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ William Hill
No2.28 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): West Ham = 0.93 (league 1.53), Aston Villa = 2.40 (league 1.30)

Aston Villa
0 1 2 3 4 5
West Ham 0 3.6% 8.5% 10.3% 8.2% 4.9% 2.4%
1 3.3% 8.0% 9.6% 7.7% 4.6% 2.2%
2 1.6% 3.7% 4.5% 3.6% 2.2% 1.0%
3 0.5% 1.2% 1.4% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.8% · Draw 17.3% · Away win 66.2%

vtt 46 , vtd1