Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 16:30 • Villa Park
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.86 (league 1.55) 1.11 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.8% 22.6% 22.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.6%
2 - 1
9.9%
1 - 0
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Manchester United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aston Villa 0 5.1% 5.7% 3.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 9.6% 10.6% 5.9% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.9% 9.9% 5.4% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 5.5% 6.1% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.6% 2.8% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.0% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAston VillaManchester United
Played55
Form100%53%
Attack63%58%
Defense63%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.411 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

87%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Aston Villa Manchester United
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins75%50%63%50%38%44%
Draws13%25%19%25%38%31%
Loses13%25%19%25%25%25%

Form: Aston Villa: DLLDDWWWWLWWWWWW • Manchester United: LDWLWLWWWDDLWDWD

League goals

Metric Aston Villa Manchester United
HATHAT
GF total131225161430
GF avg1.61.51.62.01.81.9
GA total61117121426
GA avg0.81.41.11.51.81.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAston VillaManchester United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%69%81%94%
1.550%25%63%44%
2.525%13%25%19%
3.513%0%19%6%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAston VillaManchester United
HATHAT
Clean sheets415101
Failed to score235213

Penalties

MetricAston VillaManchester United
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricAston VillaManchester United
Wins43
Draws22
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-03-44-21-4
Biggest losses0-32-00-13-0
Goals For4444
Goals Against3343

Model comparison

MetricAston VillaManchester United
Form65%35%
Att52%48%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h7%93%
Goals27%73%
Total44.3%55.7%

Advice: Double chance : Aston Villa or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.20 @ 1xBet
Draw3.80 @ 188Bet
Away3.40 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.73 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.28 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.60 @ William Hill
No2.45 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Aston Villa = 1.86 (league 1.55), Manchester United = 1.11 (league 1.30)

Manchester United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aston Villa 0 5.1% 5.7% 3.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 9.6% 10.6% 5.9% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.9% 9.9% 5.4% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 5.5% 6.1% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.6% 2.8% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.0% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.8% · Draw 22.6% · Away win 22.3%

Vtot 5 , Vtod5