Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 15:00 • Vitality Stadium
Not Started
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Expected Goals
2.44 (league 1.55) 0.64 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
73.1% 15.2% 7.9%
best score tips
2 - 0
13.6%
1 - 0
11.2%
3 - 0
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
Burnley
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bournemouth 0 4.6% 3.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 11.2% 7.2% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.6% 8.8% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.1% 7.1% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 6.7% 4.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.3% 2.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBournemouthBurnley
Played55
Form20%0%
Attack42%21%
Defense47%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 211 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bournemouth Burnley
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins50%13%31%25%13%19%
Draws38%38%38%13%0%6%
Loses13%50%31%63%88%75%

Form: Bournemouth: LWWWDDWDWLLDLLDD • Burnley: LWLLDLLWWLLLLLLL

League goals

Metric Bournemouth Burnley
HATHAT
GF total10152571118
GF avg1.31.91.60.91.41.1
GA total52328102333
GA avg0.62.91.81.32.92.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBournemouthBurnley
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%69%69%88%
1.556%50%38%69%
2.519%38%6%38%
3.56%19%0%6%
4.50%0%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBournemouthBurnley
HATHAT
Clean sheets415202
Failed to score314415

Penalties

MetricBournemouthBurnley
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricBournemouthBurnley
Wins32
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-12-02-3
Biggest losses0-14-00-25-1
Goals For3423
Goals Against2435

Model comparison

MetricBournemouthBurnley
Form100%0%
Att67%33%
Def52%48%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h60%40%
Goals50%50%
Total61.0%39.0%

Advice: Double chance : Bournemouth or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.51 @ 1xBet
Draw4.70 @ 188Bet
Away7.30 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.78 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.20 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ Pinnacle
No1.95 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bournemouth = 2.44 (league 1.55), Burnley = 0.64 (league 1.30)

Burnley
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bournemouth 0 4.6% 3.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 11.2% 7.2% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.6% 8.8% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.1% 7.1% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 6.7% 4.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.3% 2.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 73.1% · Draw 15.2% · Away win 7.9%

Vtot 9 , Vtod4