Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 15:00 • Amex Stadium
Not Started
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Expected Goals
1.68 (league 1.55) 0.54 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.6% 23.2% 11.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.3%
2 - 0
15.4%
0 - 0
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
Sunderland
0 1 2 3 4 5
Brighton 0 10.9% 5.9% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 18.3% 9.8% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.4% 8.3% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.6% 4.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.6% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBrightonSunderland
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack42%26%
Defense58%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Brighton Sunderland
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins50%25%38%63%25%44%
Draws38%25%31%38%25%31%
Loses13%50%31%0%50%25%

Form: Brighton: DLWLDWDWLWDWWLDL • Sunderland: WLWDDWLWWDDLWDLW

League goals

Metric Brighton Sunderland
HATHAT
GF total1692515419
GF avg2.01.11.61.90.51.2
GA total11122371017
GA avg1.41.51.40.91.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBrightonSunderland
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%81%69%69%
1.556%38%38%31%
2.519%13%13%6%
3.50%13%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBrightonSunderland
HATHAT
Clean sheets123325
Failed to score033055

Penalties

MetricBrightonSunderland
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricBrightonSunderland
Wins22
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-33-01-2
Biggest losses3-44-2—3-0
Goals For3332
Goals Against4423

Model comparison

MetricBrightonSunderland
Form50%50%
Att62%38%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total58.3%41.8%

Advice: Double chance : Brighton or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.69 @ 1xBet
Draw4.25 @ 188Bet
Away5.50 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.87 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.08 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.84 @ Pinnacle
No2.02 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Brighton = 1.68 (league 1.55), Sunderland = 0.54 (league 1.30)

Sunderland
0 1 2 3 4 5
Brighton 0 10.9% 5.9% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 18.3% 9.8% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.4% 8.3% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.6% 4.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.6% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.6% · Draw 23.2% · Away win 11.4%

Vtot 6 , Vtod3