Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 20:00 • Hill Dickinson Stadium
Not Started
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Expected Goals
0.81 (league 1.55) 1.10 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.8% 31.3% 41.8%
best score tips
0 - 1
16.2%
0 - 0
14.8%
1 - 1
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
Arsenal
0 1 2 3 4 5
Everton 0 14.8% 16.2% 8.9% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2%
1 12.0% 13.2% 7.2% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2%
2 4.9% 5.4% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.3% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEvertonArsenal
Played55
Form60%67%
Attack32%53%
Defense68%74%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.210 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Everton Arsenal
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins50%38%44%88%50%69%
Draws25%13%19%13%25%19%
Loses25%50%38%0%25%13%

Form: Everton: LWWDLDWLLDWWLWWL • Arsenal: WWLWDWWWWWDWDWLW

League goals

Metric Everton Arsenal
HATHAT
GF total11718201030
GF avg1.40.91.12.51.31.9
GA total910193710
GA avg1.11.31.20.40.90.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEvertonArsenal
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%63%94%50%
1.531%38%56%13%
2.513%13%19%0%
3.50%6%13%0%
4.50%0%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEvertonArsenal
HATHAT
Clean sheets426538
Failed to score235011

Penalties

MetricEvertonArsenal
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricEvertonArsenal
Wins25
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-02-35-00-2
Biggest losses1-42-0—2-1
Goals For3352
Goals Against4212

Model comparison

MetricEvertonArsenal
Form47%53%
Att38%63%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h15%85%
Goals20%80%
Total34.2%66.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Arsenal

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home6.00 @ 188Bet
Draw4.00 @ Pinnacle
Away1.69 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.14 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.83 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ 188Bet
No1.79 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Everton = 0.81 (league 1.55), Arsenal = 1.10 (league 1.30)

Arsenal
0 1 2 3 4 5
Everton 0 14.8% 16.2% 8.9% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2%
1 12.0% 13.2% 7.2% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2%
2 4.9% 5.4% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.3% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.8% · Draw 31.3% · Away win 41.8%

Vtot 6 , Vtod1