Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 20:00 • Elland Road
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.63 (league 1.53) 1.50 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
15.5% 26.0% 58.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
17.8%
0 - 2
13.4%
0 - 0
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
Crystal Palace
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leeds 0 11.9% 17.8% 13.4% 6.7% 2.5% 0.8%
1 7.5% 11.2% 8.4% 4.2% 1.6% 0.5%
2 2.3% 3.5% 2.6% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1%
3 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLeedsCrystal Palace
Played55
Form33%60%
Attack100%60%
Defense0%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Leeds Crystal Palace
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins38%13%25%25%63%44%
Draws38%13%25%50%13%31%
Loses25%75%50%25%25%25%

Form: Leeds: WLDLWDLLWLLLLWDD • Crystal Palace: DDWDWWLDLWDWLWWL

League goals

Metric Leeds Crystal Palace
HATHAT
GF total1372091120
GF avg1.60.91.31.11.41.3
GA total11193010515
GA avg1.42.41.91.30.60.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLeedsCrystal Palace
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%88%69%56%
1.538%56%44%25%
2.519%31%13%13%
3.50%6%0%0%
4.50%6%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLeedsCrystal Palace
HATHAT
Clean sheets202347
Failed to score145325

Penalties

MetricLeedsCrystal Palace
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricLeedsCrystal Palace
Wins12
Draws12
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-32-00-3
Biggest losses1-25-00-32-1
Goals For3333
Goals Against3532

Model comparison

MetricLeedsCrystal Palace
Form36%64%
Att63%38%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution29%71%
H2h38%62%
Goals33%67%
Total39.5%60.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Crystal Palace

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.79 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.23 @ 1xBet
Away2.89 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.32 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.72 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Bet365
No1.96 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Leeds = 0.63 (league 1.53), Crystal Palace = 1.50 (league 1.30)

Crystal Palace
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leeds 0 11.9% 17.8% 13.4% 6.7% 2.5% 0.8%
1 7.5% 11.2% 8.4% 4.2% 1.6% 0.5%
2 2.3% 3.5% 2.6% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1%
3 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.5% · Draw 26.0% · Away win 58.1%

vtt 63 , vtd1