Sat, Dec 27 2025 • 15:00 • Emirates Stadium
Not Started
—
Expected Goals
2.43 (league 1.54) 0.34 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
80.0% 12.6% 3.7%
best score tips
2 - 0
18.5%
1 - 0
15.3%
3 - 0
15.0%
Score & goals probability table
Brighton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arsenal 0 6.3% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 15.3% 5.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.5% 6.3% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.0% 5.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.1% 3.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricArsenalBrighton
Played55
Form67%33%
Attack50%43%
Defense71%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Arsenal Brighton
HATHAT
Played89179817
Wins88%56%71%44%25%35%
Draws13%22%18%44%25%35%
Loses0%22%12%11%50%29%

Form: Arsenal: WWLWDWWWWWDWDWLWW • Brighton: DLWLDWDWLWDWWLDLD

League goals

Metric Arsenal Brighton
HATHAT
GF total20113116925
GF avg2.51.21.81.81.11.5
GA total3710111223
GA avg0.40.80.61.21.51.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineArsenalBrighton
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.594%47%76%76%
1.553%12%53%35%
2.518%0%18%12%
3.512%0%0%12%
4.56%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricArsenalBrighton
HATHAT
Clean sheets549224
Failed to score011134

Penalties

MetricArsenalBrighton
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricArsenalBrighton
Wins52
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-23-01-3
Biggest losses—2-13-44-2
Goals For5233
Goals Against1244

Model comparison

MetricArsenalBrighton
Form67%33%
Att54%46%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution87%13%
H2h85%15%
Goals82%18%
Total73.2%26.8%

Advice: Double chance : Arsenal or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.50 @ 1xBet
Draw4.72 @ 1xBet
Away8.00 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.73 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.28 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ Pinnacle
No1.97 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Arsenal = 2.43 (league 1.54), Brighton = 0.34 (league 1.30)

Brighton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arsenal 0 6.3% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 15.3% 5.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.5% 6.3% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.0% 5.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.1% 3.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 80.0% · Draw 12.6% · Away win 3.7%

Vtot 5 , Vtod5