Sat, Dec 27 2025 • 15:00 • Brentford Community Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.79 (league 1.53) 1.61 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
58.4% 11.6% 11.1%
best score tips
3 - 1
6.6%
4 - 1
6.3%
3 - 2
5.3%
Score & goals probability table
Bournemouth
0 1 2 3 4 5
Brentford 0 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 1.7% 2.8% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
2 3.2% 5.2% 4.2% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
3 4.1% 6.6% 5.3% 2.8% 1.1% 0.4%
4 3.9% 6.3% 5.0% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3%
5 2.9% 4.7% 3.8% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBrentfordBournemouth
Played55
Form47%20%
Attack55%64%
Defense45%18%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Brentford Bournemouth
HATHAT
Played89179817
Wins63%22%41%44%13%29%
Draws25%0%12%44%38%41%
Loses13%78%47%11%50%29%

Form: Brentford: LWLDLWLWWLWLWLLDW • Bournemouth: LWWWDDWDWLLDLLDDD

League goals

Metric Brentford Bournemouth
HATHAT
GF total16824111526
GF avg2.00.91.41.21.91.5
GA total9162562329
GA avg1.11.81.50.72.91.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBrentfordBournemouth
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%82%76%71%
1.541%53%53%47%
2.524%12%18%35%
3.50%0%6%18%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBrentfordBournemouth
HATHAT
Clean sheets123415
Failed to score134314

Penalties

MetricBrentfordBournemouth
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total52

Streaks

MetricBrentfordBournemouth
Wins23
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-23-10-1
Biggest losses0-13-10-14-0
Goals For3234
Goals Against2324

Model comparison

MetricBrentfordBournemouth
Form70%30%
Att46%54%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h93%7%
Goals65%35%
Total66.8%33.2%

Advice: Double chance : Brentford or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.41 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.71 @ 1xBet
Away3.07 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.74 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.28 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.59 @ Pinnacle
No2.50 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Brentford = 3.79 (league 1.53), Bournemouth = 1.61 (league 1.30)

Bournemouth
0 1 2 3 4 5
Brentford 0 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 1.7% 2.8% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
2 3.2% 5.2% 4.2% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
3 4.1% 6.6% 5.3% 2.8% 1.1% 0.4%
4 3.9% 6.3% 5.0% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3%
5 2.9% 4.7% 3.8% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.4% · Draw 11.6% · Away win 11.1%

vtt 99 , vtd1