Sat, Dec 27 2025 • 15:00 • Turf Moor
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.76 (league 1.54) 0.91 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.6% 34.2% 37.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
18.8%
0 - 1
17.1%
1 - 0
14.3%
Score & goals probability table
Everton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Burnley 0 18.8% 17.1% 7.8% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.3% 13.0% 5.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 5.4% 4.9% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.4% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBurnleyEverton
Played55
Form7%40%
Attack45%45%
Defense9%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Burnley Everton
HATHAT
Played89179817
Wins25%11%18%44%38%41%
Draws13%11%12%22%13%18%
Loses63%78%71%33%50%41%

Form: Burnley: LWLLDLLWWLLLLLLLD • Everton: LWWDLDWLLDWWLWWLL

League goals

Metric Burnley Everton
HATHAT
GF total7121911718
GF avg0.91.31.11.20.91.1
GA total102434101020
GA avg1.32.72.01.11.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBurnleyEverton
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%88%65%65%
1.535%65%29%35%
2.56%35%12%12%
3.50%6%0%6%
4.50%6%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBurnleyEverton
HATHAT
Clean sheets202426
Failed to score415336

Penalties

MetricBurnleyEverton
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricBurnleyEverton
Wins22
Draws11
Losses72

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-02-33-02-3
Biggest losses0-25-11-42-0
Goals For2333
Goals Against3542

Model comparison

MetricBurnleyEverton
Form14%86%
Att50%50%
Def41%59%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h20%80%
Goals27%73%
Total32.5%67.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Everton

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.72 @ 1xBet
Draw3.27 @ 1xBet
Away2.27 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.46 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.67 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.11 @ Pinnacle
No1.83 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Burnley = 0.76 (league 1.54), Everton = 0.91 (league 1.28)

Everton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Burnley 0 18.8% 17.1% 7.8% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.3% 13.0% 5.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 5.4% 4.9% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.4% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.6% · Draw 34.2% · Away win 37.1%

Vtot 82 , Vtod1