Fri, Dec 26 2025 • 20:00 • Old Trafford
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.70 (league 1.53) 1.06 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.5% 24.1% 23.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.4%
1 - 0
10.8%
2 - 1
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Newcastle
0 1 2 3 4 5
Manchester United 0 6.4% 6.7% 3.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 10.8% 11.4% 6.0% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
2 9.2% 9.7% 5.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 5.2% 5.5% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.2% 2.3% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricManchester UnitedNewcastle
Played55
Form53%53%
Attack92%77%
Defense31%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.410 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Manchester United Newcastle
HATHAT
Played89179817
Wins50%33%41%56%13%35%
Draws25%33%29%22%38%29%
Loses25%33%29%22%50%35%

Form: Manchester United: LDWLWLWWWDDLWDWDL • Newcastle: DLDWDLWLWLLWWDWLD

League goals

Metric Manchester United Newcastle
HATHAT
GF total16153116723
GF avg2.01.71.81.80.91.4
GA total121628121022
GA avg1.51.81.61.31.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineManchester UnitedNewcastle
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%94%76%71%
1.559%47%47%41%
2.524%18%6%18%
3.518%6%6%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricManchester UnitedNewcastle
HATHAT
Clean sheets101235
Failed to score213044

Penalties

MetricManchester UnitedNewcastle
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricManchester UnitedNewcastle
Wins32
Draws21
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-21-42-01-4
Biggest losses0-13-02-33-1
Goals For4424
Goals Against4333

Model comparison

MetricManchester UnitedNewcastle
Form50%50%
Att55%45%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h20%80%
Goals25%75%
Total42.2%57.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Newcastle

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.69 @ 1xBet
Draw3.70 @ 1xBet
Away2.69 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.66 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.47 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.53 @ William Hill
No2.71 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Manchester United = 1.70 (league 1.53), Newcastle = 1.06 (league 1.28)

Newcastle
0 1 2 3 4 5
Manchester United 0 6.4% 6.7% 3.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 10.8% 11.4% 6.0% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
2 9.2% 9.7% 5.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 5.2% 5.5% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.2% 2.3% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.5% · Draw 24.1% · Away win 23.5%

vtt 90 , vtd1