Sat, Dec 27 2025 • 12:30 • City Ground
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.19 (league 1.53) 2.50 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
16.2% 17.6% 61.8%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.3%
0 - 2
7.8%
1 - 3
7.7%
Score & goals probability table
Manchester City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nottingham Forest 0 2.5% 6.3% 7.8% 6.5% 4.1% 2.0%
1 3.0% 7.4% 9.3% 7.7% 4.8% 2.4%
2 1.8% 4.4% 5.5% 4.6% 2.9% 1.4%
3 0.7% 1.7% 2.2% 1.8% 1.1% 0.6%
4 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNottingham ForestManchester City
Played55
Form40%100%
Attack36%100%
Defense45%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.817 | 3.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nottingham Forest Manchester City
HATHAT
Played89179817
Wins38%22%29%89%50%71%
Draws13%22%18%0%13%6%
Loses50%56%53%11%38%24%

Form: Nottingham Forest: WDLLDLLLLDWWLWLWL • Manchester City: WLLWDWWWLWWLWWWWW

League goals

Metric Nottingham Forest Manchester City
HATHAT
GF total11617251641
GF avg1.40.71.02.82.02.4
GA total13132661016
GA avg1.61.41.50.71.30.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNottingham ForestManchester City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.547%82%88%53%
1.529%47%65%29%
2.524%24%59%6%
3.50%0%18%6%
4.50%0%12%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNottingham ForestManchester City
HATHAT
Clean sheets123538
Failed to score459112

Penalties

MetricNottingham ForestManchester City
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricNottingham ForestManchester City
Wins23
Draws11
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-35-10-4
Biggest losses0-33-00-22-1
Goals For3355
Goals Against3324

Model comparison

MetricNottingham ForestManchester City
Form29%71%
Att19%81%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution29%71%
H2h20%80%
Goals10%90%
Total26.2%73.8%

Advice: Winner : Manchester City

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.75 @ Unibet
Draw4.46 @ 1xBet
Away1.66 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.44 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ 10Bet
No2.33 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Nottingham Forest = 1.19 (league 1.53), Manchester City = 2.50 (league 1.28)

Manchester City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nottingham Forest 0 2.5% 6.3% 7.8% 6.5% 4.1% 2.0%
1 3.0% 7.4% 9.3% 7.7% 4.8% 2.4%
2 1.8% 4.4% 5.5% 4.6% 2.9% 1.4%
3 0.7% 1.7% 2.2% 1.8% 1.1% 0.6%
4 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.2% · Draw 17.6% · Away win 61.8%

vtt 75 , vtd1