Sun, Dec 28 2025 • 14:00 • Stadium of Light
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.97 (league 1.53) 0.63 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
75.9% 10.8% 5.1%
best score tips
2 - 0
12.0%
3 - 0
11.9%
4 - 0
8.8%
Score & goals probability table
Leeds
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sunderland 0 2.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 8.1% 5.1% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.0% 7.6% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.9% 7.5% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 8.8% 5.6% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 5.3% 3.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSunderlandLeeds
Played55
Form53%53%
Attack42%100%
Defense50%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 113 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sunderland Leeds
HATHAT
Played89179817
Wins63%22%41%44%13%29%
Draws38%33%35%33%13%24%
Loses0%44%24%22%75%47%

Form: Sunderland: WLWDDWLWWDDLWDLWD • Leeds: WLDLWDLLWLLLLWDDW

League goals

Metric Sunderland Leeds
HATHAT
GF total1541917724
GF avg1.90.41.11.90.91.4
GA total71017121931
GA avg0.91.11.01.32.41.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSunderlandLeeds
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%65%71%88%
1.535%29%41%53%
2.512%6%24%29%
3.50%0%6%6%
4.50%0%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSunderlandLeeds
HATHAT
Clean sheets336202
Failed to score066145

Penalties

MetricSunderlandLeeds
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricSunderlandLeeds
Wins21
Draws22
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-24-11-3
Biggest losses—3-01-25-0
Goals For3243
Goals Against2335

Model comparison

MetricSunderlandLeeds
Form50%50%
Att28%72%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution82%18%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total53.3%46.7%

Advice: Double chance : Sunderland or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.84 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away2.84 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.42 @ SBO
Under 2.51.66 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Bet365
No1.88 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sunderland = 2.97 (league 1.53), Leeds = 0.63 (league 1.28)

Leeds
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sunderland 0 2.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 8.1% 5.1% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.0% 7.6% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.9% 7.5% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 8.8% 5.6% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 5.3% 3.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 75.9% · Draw 10.8% · Away win 5.1%

vtt 82 , vtd1