Tue, Dec 30 2025 • 20:15 • Emirates Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.03 (league 1.53) 0.50 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
71.9% 18.3% 8.0%
best score tips
2 - 0
16.4%
1 - 0
16.1%
3 - 0
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
Aston Villa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arsenal 0 7.9% 4.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 16.1% 8.1% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.4% 8.2% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.1% 5.6% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.6% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricArsenalAston Villa
Played55
Form80%100%
Attack80%100%
Defense60%20%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.613 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Arsenal Aston Villa
HATHAT
Played99189918
Wins89%56%72%78%56%67%
Draws11%22%17%11%22%17%
Loses0%22%11%11%22%17%

Form: Arsenal: WWLWDWWWWWDWDWLWWW • Aston Villa: DLLDDWWWWLWWWWWWWW

League goals

Metric Arsenal Aston Villa
HATHAT
GF total221133151429
GF avg2.41.21.81.71.61.6
GA total471171219
GA avg0.40.80.60.81.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineArsenalAston Villa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.594%50%72%72%
1.556%11%56%22%
2.517%0%22%11%
3.511%0%11%0%
4.56%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricArsenalAston Villa
HATHAT
Clean sheets549415
Failed to score011235

Penalties

MetricArsenalAston Villa
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricArsenalAston Villa
Wins54
Draws12
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-24-03-4
Biggest losses—2-10-32-0
Goals For5244
Goals Against1233

Model comparison

MetricArsenalAston Villa
Form44%56%
Att38%62%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution78%22%
H2h29%71%
Goals42%58%
Total49.7%50.3%

Advice: Double chance : Arsenal or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.44 @ 10Bet
Draw5.45 @ Pinnacle
Away9.00 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.88 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.23 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.15 @ Betfair
No1.84 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Arsenal = 2.03 (league 1.53), Aston Villa = 0.50 (league 1.28)

Aston Villa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arsenal 0 7.9% 4.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 16.1% 8.1% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.4% 8.2% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.1% 5.6% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.6% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.9% · Draw 18.3% · Away win 8.0%

Vtot 58 , Vtod1