Tue, Dec 30 2025 • 20:15 •
Emirates Stadium
Expected Goals
2.08 (league 1.50)
0.51 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 72.4% | 17.8% | 7.8% |
best score tips
2 - 0
16.2%
1 - 0
15.6%
3 - 0
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Aston Villa | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Arsenal | 0 | 7.5% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.6% | 7.9% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.2% | 8.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.3% | 5.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.9% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Arsenal | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 100% |
| Attack | 80% | 100% |
| Defense | 60% | 20% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 13 | 2.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
77%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Arsenal | Aston Villa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 9 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 18 |
| Wins | 89% | 56% | 72% | 78% | 56% | 67% |
| Draws | 11% | 22% | 17% | 11% | 22% | 17% |
| Loses | 0% | 22% | 11% | 11% | 22% | 17% |
ArsenalWWLWDWWWWWDWDWLWWW
Aston VillaDLLDDWWWWLWWWWWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Arsenal | Aston Villa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 22 | 11 | 33 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| GF avg | 2.4 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 4 | 7 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 19 |
| GA avg | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Arsenal | Aston Villa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 94% | 50% | 72% | 72% |
| 1.5 | 56% | 11% | 56% | 22% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 0% | 22% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 0% | 11% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Arsenal | Aston Villa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Arsenal | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Arsenal | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 0-2 | 4-0 | 3-4 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | 0-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Arsenal | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 38% | 62% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 78% | 22% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 42% | 58% |
| Total | 49.7% | 50.3% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.44 @ 10Bet
Draw5.45 @ Pinnacle
Away9.00 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.88 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.23 @ SBO
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.15 @ Betfair
No1.84 @ Unibet
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League standings
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