Thu, Jan 1 2026 • 17:30 • Anfield
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.44 (league 1.53) 0.77 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
70.2% 16.1% 9.9%
best score tips
2 - 0
12.0%
1 - 0
9.8%
3 - 0
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Leeds
0 1 2 3 4 5
Liverpool 0 4.0% 3.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 9.8% 7.6% 2.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.0% 9.3% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.7% 7.5% 2.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.9% 4.6% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.9% 2.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLiverpoolLeeds
Played55
Form73%60%
Attack59%71%
Defense65%59%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 212 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

87%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Liverpool Leeds
HATHAT
Played99189918
Wins67%44%56%44%11%28%
Draws11%11%11%33%22%28%
Loses22%44%33%22%67%44%

Form: Liverpool: WWWWWLLLLWLLWDDWWW • Leeds: WLDLWDLLWLLLLWDDWD

League goals

Metric Liverpool Leeds
HATHAT
GF total15153017825
GF avg1.71.71.71.90.91.4
GA total101626122032
GA avg1.11.81.41.32.21.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLiverpoolLeeds
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%72%72%89%
1.556%50%39%50%
2.517%22%22%28%
3.56%0%6%6%
4.50%0%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLiverpoolLeeds
HATHAT
Clean sheets325202
Failed to score112145

Penalties

MetricLiverpoolLeeds
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricLiverpoolLeeds
Wins51
Draws22
Losses44

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-20-24-11-3
Biggest losses0-33-01-25-0
Goals For4343
Goals Against3335

Model comparison

MetricLiverpoolLeeds
Form55%45%
Att45%55%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h71%29%
Goals76%24%
Total62.5%37.5%

Advice: Double chance : Liverpool or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.62 @ 1xBet
Draw4.37 @ Pinnacle
Away6.00 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.78 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.21 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ Pinnacle
No2.10 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Liverpool = 2.44 (league 1.53), Leeds = 0.77 (league 1.28)

Leeds
0 1 2 3 4 5
Liverpool 0 4.0% 3.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 9.8% 7.6% 2.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.0% 9.3% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.7% 7.5% 2.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.9% 4.6% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.9% 2.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.2% · Draw 16.1% · Away win 9.9%

vtt 36 , vtd1