Thu, Jan 1 2026 • 20:00 • Stadium of Light
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.41 (league 1.54) 1.39 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.3% 25.3% 36.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.9%
1 - 0
8.6%
0 - 1
8.5%
Score & goals probability table
Manchester City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sunderland 0 6.1% 8.5% 5.9% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
1 8.6% 11.9% 8.3% 3.9% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.0% 8.4% 5.8% 2.7% 0.9% 0.3%
3 2.8% 3.9% 2.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.0% 1.4% 1.0% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSunderlandManchester City
Played55
Form40%100%
Attack18%94%
Defense71%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.616 | 3.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sunderland Manchester City
HATHAT
Played99189918
Wins56%22%39%89%56%72%
Draws44%33%39%0%11%6%
Loses0%44%22%11%33%22%

Form: Sunderland: WLWDDWLWWDDLWDLWDD • Manchester City: WLLWDWWWLWWLWWWWWW

League goals

Metric Sunderland Manchester City
HATHAT
GF total16420251843
GF avg1.80.41.12.82.02.4
GA total8101861117
GA avg0.91.11.00.71.20.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSunderlandManchester City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%89%56%
1.533%28%67%28%
2.511%6%56%6%
3.50%0%17%6%
4.50%0%11%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSunderlandManchester City
HATHAT
Clean sheets336538
Failed to score066112

Penalties

MetricSunderlandManchester City
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricSunderlandManchester City
Wins23
Draws21
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-25-10-4
Biggest losses—3-00-22-1
Goals For3255
Goals Against2324

Model comparison

MetricSunderlandManchester City
Form29%71%
Att16%84%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h0%100%
Goals14%86%
Total31.6%68.4%

Advice: Winner : Manchester City

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home8.50 @ Betfair
Draw5.25 @ Bet365
Away1.44 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.74 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.31 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Bet365
No1.92 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Sunderland = 1.41 (league 1.54), Manchester City = 1.39 (league 1.29)

Manchester City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sunderland 0 6.1% 8.5% 5.9% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
1 8.6% 11.9% 8.3% 3.9% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.0% 8.4% 5.8% 2.7% 0.9% 0.3%
3 2.8% 3.9% 2.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.0% 1.4% 1.0% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.3% · Draw 25.3% · Away win 36.8%

vtt 32 , vtd1