Sat, Jan 3 2026 • 12:30 • Villa Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.55 (league 1.53) 0.44 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.6% 24.7% 10.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
21.2%
2 - 0
16.5%
0 - 0
13.7%
Score & goals probability table
Nottingham Forest
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aston Villa 0 13.7% 6.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 21.2% 9.3% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.5% 7.2% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.5% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAston VillaNottingham Forest
Played55
Form80%20%
Attack100%100%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Aston Villa Nottingham Forest
HATHAT
Played9101910919
Wins78%50%63%30%22%26%
Draws11%20%16%10%22%16%
Loses11%30%21%60%56%58%

Form: Aston Villa: DLLDDWWWWLWWWWWWWWL • Nottingham Forest: WDLLDLLLLDWWLWLWLLL

League goals

Metric Aston Villa Nottingham Forest
HATHAT
GF total15153012618
GF avg1.71.51.61.20.70.9
GA total71623171330
GA avg0.81.61.21.71.41.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAston VillaNottingham Forest
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%74%47%84%
1.553%26%26%53%
2.521%16%21%21%
3.511%5%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAston VillaNottingham Forest
HATHAT
Clean sheets415123
Failed to score2355510

Penalties

MetricAston VillaNottingham Forest
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricAston VillaNottingham Forest
Wins82
Draws21
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-03-43-00-3
Biggest losses0-34-10-33-0
Goals For4433
Goals Against3433

Model comparison

MetricAston VillaNottingham Forest
Form80%20%
Att71%29%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution78%22%
H2h60%40%
Goals56%44%
Total65.3%34.7%

Advice: Double chance : Aston Villa or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.96 @ 1xBet
Draw3.68 @ 1xBet
Away4.40 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.92 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.03 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.78 @ Pinnacle
No2.12 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Aston Villa = 1.55 (league 1.53), Nottingham Forest = 0.44 (league 1.28)

Nottingham Forest
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aston Villa 0 13.7% 6.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 21.2% 9.3% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.5% 7.2% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.5% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.6% · Draw 24.7% · Away win 10.2%

vtt 25 , vtd1