Sat, Jan 3 2026 • 17:30 • Vitality Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.63 (league 1.53) 0.65 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.0% 40.4% 30.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
27.7%
0 - 1
18.1%
1 - 0
17.4%
Score & goals probability table
Arsenal
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bournemouth 0 27.7% 18.1% 5.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.4% 11.4% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 5.5% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBournemouthArsenal
Played55
Form27%80%
Attack89%100%
Defense0%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bournemouth Arsenal
HATHAT
Played9101910919
Wins44%10%26%90%56%74%
Draws44%40%42%10%22%16%
Loses11%50%32%0%22%11%

Form: Bournemouth: LWWWDDWDWLLDLLDDDLD • Arsenal: WWLWDWWWWWDWDWLWWWW

League goals

Metric Bournemouth Arsenal
HATHAT
GF total111829261137
GF avg1.21.81.52.61.21.9
GA total629355712
GA avg0.72.91.80.50.80.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBournemouthArsenal
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%74%95%53%
1.553%53%58%11%
2.516%37%21%0%
3.55%21%16%0%
4.50%0%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBournemouthArsenal
HATHAT
Clean sheets415549
Failed to score314011

Penalties

MetricBournemouthArsenal
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricBournemouthArsenal
Wins35
Draws31
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-15-00-2
Biggest losses0-14-0—2-1
Goals For3452
Goals Against2412

Model comparison

MetricBournemouthArsenal
Form25%75%
Att44%56%
Def31%69%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h50%50%
Goals36%64%
Total38.8%61.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Arsenal

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home6.79 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.88 @ 1xBet
Away1.52 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.66 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.43 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.77 @ Pinnacle
No2.13 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bournemouth = 0.63 (league 1.53), Arsenal = 0.65 (league 1.28)

Arsenal
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bournemouth 0 27.7% 18.1% 5.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.4% 11.4% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 5.5% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.0% · Draw 40.4% · Away win 30.6%

Vtot 16 , Vtod2