Sat, Jan 3 2026 • 15:00 • Amex Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.17 (league 1.53) 1.22 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
65.4% 13.2% 11.0%
best score tips
3 - 1
8.0%
2 - 1
7.6%
3 - 0
6.6%
Score & goals probability table
Burnley
0 1 2 3 4 5
Brighton 0 1.2% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 3.9% 4.8% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
2 6.2% 7.6% 4.6% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
3 6.6% 8.0% 4.9% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
4 5.2% 6.4% 3.9% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
5 3.3% 4.0% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBrightonBurnley
Played55
Form20%13%
Attack67%83%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

92%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Brighton Burnley
HATHAT
Played9101910919
Wins44%20%32%20%11%16%
Draws44%30%37%20%11%16%
Loses11%50%32%60%78%68%

Form: Brighton: DLWLDWDWLWDWWLDLDLD • Burnley: LWLLDLLWWLLLLLLLDDL

League goals

Metric Brighton Burnley
HATHAT
GF total16122881220
GF avg1.81.21.50.81.31.1
GA total111627132437
GA avg1.21.61.41.32.71.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBrightonBurnley
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%79%68%84%
1.553%42%32%63%
2.516%11%5%37%
3.50%11%0%5%
4.50%0%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBrightonBurnley
HATHAT
Clean sheets224303
Failed to score134516

Penalties

MetricBrightonBurnley
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricBrightonBurnley
Wins22
Draws12
Losses17

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-32-02-3
Biggest losses3-44-21-35-1
Goals For3323
Goals Against4435

Model comparison

MetricBrightonBurnley
Form60%40%
Att44%56%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h50%50%
Goals42%58%
Total53.5%46.5%

Advice: Double chance : Brighton or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.52 @ 1xBet
Draw4.68 @ 1xBet
Away7.50 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.27 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ Unibet
No1.99 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Brighton = 3.17 (league 1.53), Burnley = 1.22 (league 1.28)

Burnley
0 1 2 3 4 5
Brighton 0 1.2% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 3.9% 4.8% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
2 6.2% 7.6% 4.6% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
3 6.6% 8.0% 4.9% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
4 5.2% 6.4% 3.9% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
5 3.3% 4.0% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.4% · Draw 13.2% · Away win 11.0%

vtt 16 , vtd1