Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 15:00 • Hill Dickinson Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.42 (league 1.53) 0.78 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.8% 27.3% 20.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.8%
1 - 1
12.3%
2 - 0
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
Brentford
0 1 2 3 4 5
Everton 0 11.2% 8.7% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 15.8% 12.3% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.2% 8.7% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.3% 4.1% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.9% 1.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEvertonBrentford
Played55
Form47%53%
Attack31%44%
Defense81%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Everton Brentford
HATHAT
Played9101910919
Wins44%40%42%60%22%42%
Draws22%20%21%30%0%16%
Loses33%40%37%10%78%42%

Form: Everton: LWWDLDWLLDWWLWWLLDW • Brentford: LWLDLWLWWLWLWLLDWWD

League goals

Metric Everton Brentford
HATHAT
GF total1192020828
GF avg1.20.91.12.00.91.5
GA total101020101626
GA avg1.11.01.11.01.81.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEvertonBrentford
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%58%74%79%
1.532%32%42%47%
2.511%11%26%11%
3.50%5%5%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEvertonBrentford
HATHAT
Clean sheets448224
Failed to score347235

Penalties

MetricEvertonBrentford
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total15

Streaks

MetricEvertonBrentford
Wins22
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-24-10-2
Biggest losses1-42-00-13-1
Goals For3342
Goals Against4223

Model comparison

MetricEvertonBrentford
Form47%53%
Att42%58%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h85%15%
Goals75%25%
Total61.5%38.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Everton or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.61 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.28 @ 1xBet
Away3.07 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.30 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.74 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ Pinnacle
No1.94 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Everton = 1.42 (league 1.53), Brentford = 0.78 (league 1.27)

Brentford
0 1 2 3 4 5
Everton 0 11.2% 8.7% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 15.8% 12.3% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.2% 8.7% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.3% 4.1% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.9% 1.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.8% · Draw 27.3% · Away win 20.6%

vtt 14 , vtd1