Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 15:15 • Craven Cottage
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.00 (league 1.53) 1.46 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.4% 21.7% 27.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.2%
2 - 1
9.2%
1 - 2
6.7%
Score & goals probability table
Liverpool
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fulham 0 3.1% 4.6% 3.4% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
1 6.3% 9.2% 6.7% 3.3% 1.2% 0.4%
2 6.3% 9.2% 6.7% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3%
3 4.2% 6.1% 4.5% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
4 2.1% 3.0% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.8% 1.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFulhamLiverpool
Played55
Form67%73%
Attack41%53%
Defense71%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fulham Liverpool
HATHAT
Played9101910919
Wins56%30%42%60%44%53%
Draws11%20%16%20%11%16%
Loses33%50%42%20%44%32%

Form: Fulham: DDLWWLLLLWLWWLLWWWD • Liverpool: WWWWWLLLLWLLWDDWWWD

League goals

Metric Fulham Liverpool
HATHAT
GF total151126151530
GF avg1.71.11.41.51.71.6
GA total101727101626
GA avg1.11.71.41.01.81.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFulhamLiverpool
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.584%74%84%68%
1.526%42%53%47%
2.521%16%16%21%
3.55%5%5%0%
4.50%5%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFulhamLiverpool
HATHAT
Clean sheets415426
Failed to score123213

Penalties

MetricFulhamLiverpool
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricFulhamLiverpool
Wins35
Draws22
Losses44

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-02-34-20-2
Biggest losses4-53-10-33-0
Goals For4343
Goals Against5333

Model comparison

MetricFulhamLiverpool
Form48%52%
Att44%56%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h38%62%
Goals44%56%
Total46.5%53.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Liverpool

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.28 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.85 @ Pinnacle
Away1.94 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.92 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.03 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.79 @ Pinnacle
No2.15 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Fulham = 2.00 (league 1.53), Liverpool = 1.46 (league 1.28)

Liverpool
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fulham 0 3.1% 4.6% 3.4% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
1 6.3% 9.2% 6.7% 3.3% 1.2% 0.4%
2 6.3% 9.2% 6.7% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3%
3 4.2% 6.1% 4.5% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
4 2.1% 3.0% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.8% 1.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.4% · Draw 21.7% · Away win 27.9%

vtt 6 , vtd1