Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 12:30 • Elland Road
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.23 (league 1.53) 1.73 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.9% 20.2% 29.4%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.2%
1 - 1
7.4%
2 - 2
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
Manchester United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leeds 0 1.9% 3.3% 2.9% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2%
1 4.3% 7.4% 6.4% 3.7% 1.6% 0.5%
2 4.7% 8.2% 7.1% 4.1% 1.8% 0.6%
3 3.5% 6.1% 5.3% 3.0% 1.3% 0.5%
4 2.0% 3.4% 2.9% 1.7% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.9% 1.5% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLeedsManchester United
Played55
Form47%53%
Attack64%79%
Defense57%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.811 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

92%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Leeds Manchester United
HATHAT
Played9101910919
Wins44%10%26%50%33%42%
Draws33%30%32%30%33%32%
Loses22%60%42%20%33%26%

Form: Leeds: WLDLWDLLWLLLLWDDWDD • Manchester United: LDWLWLWWWDDLWDWDLWD

League goals

Metric Leeds Manchester United
HATHAT
GF total17825181533
GF avg1.90.81.31.81.71.7
GA total122032131629
GA avg1.32.01.71.31.81.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLeedsManchester United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%84%84%89%
1.537%47%53%42%
2.521%26%21%16%
3.55%5%16%5%
4.50%5%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLeedsManchester United
HATHAT
Clean sheets213202
Failed to score156213

Penalties

MetricLeedsManchester United
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricLeedsManchester United
Wins13
Draws22
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-34-21-4
Biggest losses1-25-00-13-0
Goals For4344
Goals Against3543

Model comparison

MetricLeedsManchester United
Form47%53%
Att45%55%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h15%85%
Goals29%71%
Total41.2%58.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Manchester United

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.81 @ 1xBet
Draw3.45 @ Unibet
Away2.74 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.09 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.91 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ 10Bet
No2.18 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Leeds = 2.23 (league 1.53), Manchester United = 1.73 (league 1.28)

Manchester United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leeds 0 1.9% 3.3% 2.9% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2%
1 4.3% 7.4% 6.4% 3.7% 1.6% 0.5%
2 4.7% 8.2% 7.1% 4.1% 1.8% 0.6%
3 3.5% 6.1% 5.3% 3.0% 1.3% 0.5%
4 2.0% 3.4% 2.9% 1.7% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.9% 1.5% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.9% · Draw 20.2% · Away win 29.4%

vtt 15 , vtd1