Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 17:30 • Etihad Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.01 (league 1.53) 1.02 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
58.6% 21.1% 18.5%
best score tips
2 - 1
10.0%
1 - 1
9.9%
2 - 0
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Chelsea
0 1 2 3 4 5
Manchester City 0 4.8% 4.9% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 9.7% 9.9% 5.1% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.7% 10.0% 5.1% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 6.5% 6.7% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 3.3% 3.4% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.3% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricManchester CityChelsea
Played55
Form87%40%
Attack79%50%
Defense93%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Manchester City Chelsea
HATHAT
Played9101910919
Wins89%50%68%40%44%42%
Draws0%20%11%30%33%32%
Loses11%30%21%30%22%26%

Form: Manchester City: WLLWDWWWLWWLWWWWWWD • Chelsea: DWWDLLWWLWWWDLDWDLD

League goals

Metric Manchester City Chelsea
HATHAT
GF total251843151732
GF avg2.81.82.31.51.91.7
GA total61117111021
GA avg0.71.10.91.11.11.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineManchester CityChelsea
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.584%53%89%58%
1.563%26%53%42%
2.553%5%16%11%
3.516%5%5%0%
4.511%0%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricManchester CityChelsea
HATHAT
Clean sheets549448
Failed to score123112

Penalties

MetricManchester CityChelsea
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricManchester CityChelsea
Wins63
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-43-01-5
Biggest losses0-22-11-33-1
Goals For5535
Goals Against2433

Model comparison

MetricManchester CityChelsea
Form68%32%
Att61%39%
Def86%14%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h93%7%
Goals73%27%
Total74.3%25.7%

Advice: Double chance : Manchester City or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.60 @ 1xBet
Draw4.80 @ Unibet
Away5.75 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ Betano
Under 2.52.85 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.56 @ Pinnacle
No2.55 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Manchester City = 2.01 (league 1.53), Chelsea = 1.02 (league 1.30)

Chelsea
0 1 2 3 4 5
Manchester City 0 4.8% 4.9% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 9.7% 9.9% 5.1% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.7% 10.0% 5.1% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 6.5% 6.7% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 3.3% 3.4% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.3% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.6% · Draw 21.1% · Away win 18.5%

vtt 12 , vtd1