Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 15:00 • St. James' Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.17 (league 1.53) 1.32 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
32.9% 27.0% 39.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.8%
0 - 1
10.9%
1 - 0
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Crystal Palace
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newcastle 0 8.3% 10.9% 7.2% 3.2% 1.0% 0.3%
1 9.7% 12.8% 8.5% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3%
2 5.7% 7.5% 5.0% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 2.2% 2.9% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.7% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNewcastleCrystal Palace
Played55
Form47%27%
Attack50%29%
Defense57%29%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Newcastle Crystal Palace
HATHAT
Played9101910919
Wins56%20%37%20%56%37%
Draws22%30%26%50%11%32%
Loses22%50%37%30%33%32%

Form: Newcastle: DLDWDLWLWLLWWDWLDLW • Crystal Palace: DDWDWWLDLWDWLWWLLLD

League goals

Metric Newcastle Crystal Palace
HATHAT
GF total161026101222
GF avg1.81.01.41.01.31.2
GA total12122412921
GA avg1.31.21.31.21.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNewcastleCrystal Palace
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%74%68%63%
1.547%37%37%26%
2.511%16%11%16%
3.55%0%0%5%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNewcastleCrystal Palace
HATHAT
Clean sheets235347
Failed to score055426

Penalties

MetricNewcastleCrystal Palace
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total34

Streaks

MetricNewcastleCrystal Palace
Wins22
Draws12
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-42-00-3
Biggest losses2-33-10-34-1
Goals For2433
Goals Against3334

Model comparison

MetricNewcastleCrystal Palace
Form64%36%
Att64%36%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h62%38%
Goals77%23%
Total62.2%38.0%

Advice: Double chance : Newcastle or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.71 @ 1xBet
Draw4.15 @ Betano
Away5.50 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.87 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.09 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ Pinnacle
No2.10 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Newcastle = 1.17 (league 1.53), Crystal Palace = 1.32 (league 1.28)

Crystal Palace
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newcastle 0 8.3% 10.9% 7.2% 3.2% 1.0% 0.3%
1 9.7% 12.8% 8.5% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3%
2 5.7% 7.5% 5.0% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 2.2% 2.9% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.7% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.9% · Draw 27.0% · Away win 39.8%

vtt 4 , vtd1