Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 15:00 •
St. James' Park
Expected Goals
1.20 (league 1.50)
1.34 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 33.3% | 26.7% | 39.6% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.7%
0 - 1
10.6%
1 - 0
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Crystal Palace | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Newcastle | 0 | 7.9% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 9.5% | 12.7% | 8.5% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Newcastle | Crystal Palace |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 27% |
| Attack | 50% | 29% |
| Defense | 57% | 29% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-2
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Newcastle | Crystal Palace | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 10 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 19 |
| Wins | 56% | 20% | 37% | 20% | 56% | 37% |
| Draws | 22% | 30% | 26% | 50% | 11% | 32% |
| Loses | 22% | 50% | 37% | 30% | 33% | 32% |
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Crystal PalaceDDWDWWLDLWDWLWWLLLD
League goals
| Metric | Newcastle | Crystal Palace | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 10 | 26 | 10 | 12 | 22 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 12 | 12 | 24 | 12 | 9 | 21 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Newcastle | Crystal Palace | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 74% | 74% | 68% | 63% |
| 1.5 | 47% | 37% | 37% | 26% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 16% | 11% | 16% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Newcastle | Crystal Palace | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Newcastle | Crystal Palace |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Newcastle | Crystal Palace |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-4 | 2-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 3-1 | 0-3 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Newcastle | Crystal Palace |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64% | 36% |
| Att | 64% | 36% |
| Def | 63% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 43% | 57% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 77% | 23% |
| Total | 62.2% | 38.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.71 @ 1xBet
Draw4.15 @ Betano
Away5.50 @ Betfair
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.87 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.09 @ SBO
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.87 @ Pinnacle
No2.10 @ Betfair
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League standings
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