Thu, Jan 8 2026 • 20:00 • Emirates Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.05 (league 1.53) 0.66 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
75.4% 10.5% 5.1%
best score tips
3 - 0
11.5%
2 - 0
11.3%
4 - 0
8.8%
Score & goals probability table
Liverpool
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arsenal 0 2.4% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 7.4% 4.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.3% 7.5% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.5% 7.7% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 8.8% 5.8% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 5.4% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricArsenalLiverpool
Played55
Form100%73%
Attack67%44%
Defense72%78%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

88%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Arsenal Liverpool
HATHAT
Played101020101020
Wins90%60%75%60%40%50%
Draws10%20%15%20%20%20%
Loses0%20%10%20%40%30%

Form: Arsenal: WWLWDWWWWWDWDWLWWWWW • Liverpool: WWWWWLLLLWLLWDDWWWDD

League goals

Metric Arsenal Liverpool
HATHAT
GF total261440151732
GF avg2.61.42.01.51.71.6
GA total5914101828
GA avg0.50.90.71.01.81.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineArsenalLiverpool
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.595%55%85%70%
1.560%15%55%50%
2.525%0%15%20%
3.515%0%5%0%
4.55%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricArsenalLiverpool
HATHAT
Clean sheets549426
Failed to score011213

Penalties

MetricArsenalLiverpool
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricArsenalLiverpool
Wins55
Draws12
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-24-20-2
Biggest losses—2-10-33-0
Goals For5343
Goals Against1233

Model comparison

MetricArsenalLiverpool
Form58%42%
Att60%40%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution81%19%
H2h38%62%
Goals50%50%
Total55.2%44.8%

Advice: Double chance : Arsenal or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.64 @ 1xBet
Draw4.37 @ 1xBet
Away6.00 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.87 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.10 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.96 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Arsenal = 3.05 (league 1.53), Liverpool = 0.66 (league 1.28)

Liverpool
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arsenal 0 2.4% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 7.4% 4.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.3% 7.5% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.5% 7.7% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 8.8% 5.8% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 5.4% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 75.4% · Draw 10.5% · Away win 5.1%

vtt 19 , vtd1