Wed, Jan 7 2026 • 20:15 • Turf Moor
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.89 (league 1.53) 1.63 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.4% 24.7% 54.2%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.2%
1 - 1
11.7%
0 - 2
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
Manchester United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Burnley 0 8.1% 13.2% 10.7% 5.8% 2.4% 0.8%
1 7.2% 11.7% 9.5% 5.1% 2.1% 0.7%
2 3.2% 5.2% 4.2% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
3 0.9% 1.5% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBurnleyManchester United
Played55
Form13%40%
Attack31%62%
Defense31%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Burnley Manchester United
HATHAT
Played101020101020
Wins20%10%15%50%30%40%
Draws20%10%15%30%40%35%
Loses60%80%70%20%30%25%

Form: Burnley: LWLLDLLWWLLLLLLLDDLL • Manchester United: LDWLWLWWWDDLWDWDLWDD

League goals

Metric Burnley Manchester United
HATHAT
GF total81220181634
GF avg0.81.21.01.81.61.7
GA total132639131730
GA avg1.32.62.01.31.71.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBurnleyManchester United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%85%85%90%
1.530%65%50%40%
2.55%35%20%15%
3.50%5%15%5%
4.50%5%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBurnleyManchester United
HATHAT
Clean sheets303202
Failed to score527213

Penalties

MetricBurnleyManchester United
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricBurnleyManchester United
Wins23
Draws22
Losses71

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-02-34-21-4
Biggest losses1-35-10-13-0
Goals For2344
Goals Against3543

Model comparison

MetricBurnleyManchester United
Form25%75%
Att33%67%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h15%85%
Goals33%67%
Total31.2%68.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Manchester United

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.10 @ Unibet
Draw3.94 @ 1xBet
Away1.78 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.92 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.06 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ Pinnacle
No2.05 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Burnley = 0.89 (league 1.53), Manchester United = 1.63 (league 1.28)

Manchester United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Burnley 0 8.1% 13.2% 10.7% 5.8% 2.4% 0.8%
1 7.2% 11.7% 9.5% 5.1% 2.1% 0.7%
2 3.2% 5.2% 4.2% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
3 0.9% 1.5% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.4% · Draw 24.7% · Away win 54.2%

vtt 7 , vtd1