Wed, Jan 7 2026 • 19:30 • Selhurst Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.04 (league 1.53) 1.41 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.8% 26.8% 45.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.7%
0 - 1
12.1%
1 - 0
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Aston Villa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Crystal Palace 0 8.6% 12.1% 8.5% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4%
1 9.0% 12.7% 8.9% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4%
2 4.7% 6.6% 4.6% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
3 1.6% 2.3% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCrystal PalaceAston Villa
Played55
Form7%80%
Attack15%85%
Defense15%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.411 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Crystal Palace Aston Villa
HATHAT
Played101020101020
Wins20%50%35%80%50%65%
Draws50%10%30%10%20%15%
Loses30%40%35%10%30%20%

Form: Crystal Palace: DDWDWWLDLWDWLWWLLLDL • Aston Villa: DLLDDWWWWLWWWWWWWWLW

League goals

Metric Crystal Palace Aston Villa
HATHAT
GF total101222181533
GF avg1.01.21.11.81.51.7
GA total12112381624
GA avg1.21.11.20.81.61.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCrystal PalaceAston Villa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%65%75%75%
1.535%30%55%25%
2.510%15%25%15%
3.50%5%10%5%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCrystal PalaceAston Villa
HATHAT
Clean sheets347415
Failed to score437235

Penalties

MetricCrystal PalaceAston Villa
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total40

Streaks

MetricCrystal PalaceAston Villa
Wins28
Draws22
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-34-03-4
Biggest losses0-34-10-34-1
Goals For3344
Goals Against3434

Model comparison

MetricCrystal PalaceAston Villa
Form8%92%
Att15%85%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h93%7%
Goals78%22%
Total46.7%53.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Aston Villa

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.31 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.42 @ 1xBet
Away2.40 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.99 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ Bet365
No2.24 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Crystal Palace = 1.04 (league 1.53), Aston Villa = 1.41 (league 1.28)

Aston Villa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Crystal Palace 0 8.6% 12.1% 8.5% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4%
1 9.0% 12.7% 8.9% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4%
2 4.7% 6.6% 4.6% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
3 1.6% 2.3% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.8% · Draw 26.8% · Away win 45.0%

Vtot 15 , Vtod8