Wed, Jan 7 2026 • 19:30 • Craven Cottage
Match Finished
2 - 1
Expected Goals
1.22 (league 1.53) 1.69 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.4% 24.0% 47.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.2%
1 - 2
9.5%
0 - 1
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
Chelsea
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fulham 0 5.5% 9.2% 7.8% 4.4% 1.9% 0.6%
1 6.7% 11.2% 9.5% 5.3% 2.3% 0.8%
2 4.1% 6.8% 5.8% 3.3% 1.4% 0.5%
3 1.6% 2.8% 2.3% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFulhamChelsea
Played55
Form73%40%
Attack62%62%
Defense62%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

82%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fulham Chelsea
HATHAT
Played101020101020
Wins50%30%40%40%40%40%
Draws20%20%20%30%40%35%
Loses30%50%40%30%20%25%

Form: Fulham: DDLWWLLLLWLWWLLWWWDD • Chelsea: DWWDLLWWLWWWDLDWDLDD

League goals

Metric Fulham Chelsea
HATHAT
GF total171128151833
GF avg1.71.11.41.51.81.7
GA total121729111122
GA avg1.21.71.51.11.11.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFulhamChelsea
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%75%90%60%
1.530%45%50%40%
2.520%15%15%10%
3.55%5%5%0%
4.50%5%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFulhamChelsea
HATHAT
Clean sheets415448
Failed to score123112

Penalties

MetricFulhamChelsea
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricFulhamChelsea
Wins33
Draws21
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-02-33-01-5
Biggest losses4-53-11-33-1
Goals For4335
Goals Against5333

Model comparison

MetricFulhamChelsea
Form65%35%
Att50%50%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h20%80%
Goals27%73%
Total43.3%56.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Chelsea

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.86 @ 1xBet
Draw3.84 @ 1xBet
Away2.02 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.89 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.23 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.64 @ Pinnacle
No2.35 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Fulham = 1.22 (league 1.53), Chelsea = 1.69 (league 1.28)

Chelsea
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fulham 0 5.5% 9.2% 7.8% 4.4% 1.9% 0.6%
1 6.7% 11.2% 9.5% 5.3% 2.3% 0.8%
2 4.1% 6.8% 5.8% 3.3% 1.4% 0.5%
3 1.6% 2.8% 2.3% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.4% · Draw 24.0% · Away win 47.6%

vtt 17 , vtd1