Wed, Jan 7 2026 • 19:30 • Etihad Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.71 (league 1.53) 0.66 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
74.8% 12.9% 6.6%
best score tips
2 - 0
12.7%
3 - 0
11.4%
1 - 0
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Brighton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Manchester City 0 3.4% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 9.3% 6.1% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.7% 8.3% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.4% 7.5% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 7.8% 5.1% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 4.2% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricManchester CityBrighton
Played55
Form73%33%
Attack69%38%
Defense85%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Manchester City Brighton
HATHAT
Played101020101020
Wins80%50%65%50%20%35%
Draws10%20%15%40%30%35%
Loses10%30%20%10%50%30%

Form: Manchester City: WLLWDWWWLWWLWWWWWWDD • Brighton: DLWLDWDWLWDWWLDLDLDW

League goals

Metric Manchester City Brighton
HATHAT
GF total261844181230
GF avg2.61.82.21.81.21.5
GA total71118111627
GA avg0.71.10.91.11.61.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineManchester CityBrighton
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%55%80%75%
1.560%25%55%40%
2.550%5%15%10%
3.515%5%0%10%
4.510%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricManchester CityBrighton
HATHAT
Clean sheets549325
Failed to score123134

Penalties

MetricManchester CityBrighton
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricManchester CityBrighton
Wins62
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-43-01-3
Biggest losses0-22-13-44-2
Goals For5533
Goals Against2444

Model comparison

MetricManchester CityBrighton
Form69%31%
Att64%36%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution79%21%
H2h50%50%
Goals59%41%
Total66.0%34.0%

Advice: Winner : Manchester City

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.55 @ 1xBet
Draw5.00 @ Dafabet
Away6.26 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.42 @ Unibet
Under 2.53.03 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.54 @ Unibet
No2.64 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Manchester City = 2.71 (league 1.53), Brighton = 0.66 (league 1.28)

Brighton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Manchester City 0 3.4% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 9.3% 6.1% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.7% 8.3% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.4% 7.5% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 7.8% 5.1% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 4.2% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 74.8% · Draw 12.9% · Away win 6.6%

vtt 10 , vtd1